• November 20, 2021

NFL Week 11 Participant Props, Most effective Bets, Ceedee Lamb’s Blowup

Cowboys Huge Receiver CeeDee Lamb (Image by George Walker/Icon Sportswire)

NFL Week 11 player props are stay, and we have a get-rich-brief plan going on. Not in fact, but there is a +7000 guess under that is not a parlay and that I have currently wager. Not often do writers and handicappers who publish their have documents just take stabs on these longshots publicly. If you are on the lookout for the most effective worth player prop picks of Week 11, you have come to the ideal put.

On the season, I am 50-42, immediately after a unusual 7 days that saw Cordarrelle Patterson and other Falcons starters benched immediately after the initial 50 percent of their blowout loss in Dallas. The destructive video game script and flat-out absence of competitiveness from Atlanta value us all around 14 models of revenue.

Under we have a few plus-funds player prop picks and 8 full bets to support make back again some lost revenue. Traces were offered as of Friday.

NFL Week 11 Participant Props

Ceedee Lamb Around 5.5 Receptions +100 (DraftKings)

Welcome to the slot, Ceedee Lamb! Michael Gallup performs on the exterior now, shifting Lamb into the slot receiver role, in which he is more possible to get dump-off passes, slants, and red zone targets. In a possible shootout in opposition to undesirable Chiefs secondary, a Ceedee Lamb blowup could possibly be incoming!

Ceedee Lamb To Rating 3+ Touchdowns +7000 (FanDuel)

I know, I’m mad, but a person can dream, suitable? Lamb is the best offensive player on either group, and this is the greatest projected complete in the NFL this 7 days. He had two touchdowns past week, so 7o-to-1 odds on this prop are awfully attractive. Moreover, there is a large disagreement within the industry, as other guides value this at just +2800, suggesting great value at this bigger range …. Tail if you dare.

Jonathan Taylor Over 16.5 Speeding Tries -105 (BetMGM)

Back again to reality here, Jonathan Taylor is the ideal functioning back again in the league correct now. He is the motor that makes the Colts offense run and will be fed the ball around 20 times. He has surpassed this variety of carries in three of his final 4 video games. The Colts are a dwell underdog at the Expenditures this week, in spite of the improved Buffalo run protection. Remember, we are betting on quantity below, not yardage.

Darren Waller Below 6.5 Receptions -150 (DraftKings)

No one likes laying juice like this, so for that I apologize, but most likely this is a parlay builder, also? Darren Waller’s projection of grabbing 7 passes is an unfair expectation. He has only two games with seven or more catches this year. On the period, he is averaging below five catches for every recreation.

Tyrod Taylor Beneath 34.5 Passing Tries -110 (BetMGM)

He confusingly threw the ball over 40 instances very last week in his return. This is not how you win with him. The Texans coaches ought to know that and be well prepared to feed David Johnson, their listed starting up working back again. Additional on him here…

David Johnson Around 14.5 Hurrying Yards -105 (DraftKings)

This line is not a slip-up, for the reason that Johnson has hit this selection only at the time in his earlier three online games. Even so, all of individuals video games featured Mark Ingram as Houston’s primary jogging again. Ingram is now in New Orleans, and in arrives Johnson, who is predicted to be the starter though Rex Burkhead and Phillip Lindsay perform largely on passing downs. None of these running backs make much assurance, but 14.5 yards with a even bigger workload is pretty reasonable.

Trevor Lawrence Around 15.5 Speeding Yards -115 (PointsBet)

Trevor Lawrence has been up and down this yr, and we are 1-1 driving his hurrying props this 12 months. At 15.5 yards, the amount right here is just too attainable to resist. Lawrence will have chances to get there on just two carries, and he averages more than 4 carries per sport, so we like this selection

Justin Fields Over 7.5 Rushing Tries +110 (DraftKings)

Justin Fields loves to run the ball now! He has surpassed 7.5 rushes in just about every of his previous three games. At as well as-dollars, this is an fantastic wager. I’m also seeing solid price on ‘over’ 34.5 speeding yards. He could get to Jalen Hurts-level speeding stats pretty shortly if he keeps this up. Below, I review the two, and I give this recommendation to the Bears coach: Dedicate to managing Matt Nagy, you know you want to!

Jalen Hurts Previous 4 Games Rushing                                     Justin Fields Last 4 Games Dashing

13 tries for 55 yards                                                                    8 makes an attempt for 45 yards

10 attempts for 62 yards                                                                   10 makes an attempt for 103 yards — 1 touchdown

7 attempts for 71 yards                                                                      8 tries for 38 yards

13 makes an attempt for 61 yards                                                                    6 makes an attempt for 43 yards